Published:  

Missouri Survey of 1,000 Likely Midterm Voters
Conducted April 19-20, 2017
By Pulse Opinion Research

RAISE Act Summary

LIMITS ON FAMILY IMMIGRATION
QUESTION 8:  A bill in the U.S. Senate would allow immigrants to bring in their spouse and minor children but would end migration of extended family. Do you favor or oppose allowing immigrants to bring in only their spouse and minor children and NOT their extended family?

64% Favor limits
24% Oppose limits
12% Not sure

Favor vs. Oppose

64% - 23%      Past McCaskill voters who voted for Trump
77% - 13%      Democrats & Independents who voted for Trump

56% - 30%      Voters in union households
60% - 32%       Liberal & moderate Republicans

75% - 19%      Voters for whom immigration is top issue
71% - 19%      Voters for whom immigration not top issue but in top three

ELIMINATION OF VISA LOTTERY
QUESTION 9: A bill in Congress would eliminate a government run visa lottery that each year randomly selects approximately 50,000 new immigrants around the world to move to the United States.  Opponents of the visa lottery criticize it for bringing in people without any regard for their skills or how they affect American workers who have to compete with them for jobs.  Supporters of the visa lottery say it is needed to add diversity to the United States.  Should the United States eliminate the visa lottery or continue the visa lottery?

56% Eliminate
27% Continue
17% Not sure

Eliminate vs. Continue

70% - 14%      Past McCaskill voters who voted for Trump
80% -   7%      Democrats & Independents who voted for Trump

49% - 32%      Voters in union households
57% - 32%      Liberal & moderate Republicans

75% - 21%      Voters for whom immigration is top issue
71% - 16%      Voters for whom immigration not top issue but in top three

REDUCTION OF OVERALL LEGAL IMMIGRATION NUMBERS
QUESTION 12: A bill in Congress would reduce by 40% the one million legal immigrants automatically added to the country each year.  Is this too large a reduction, too small a reduction or is the reduction about right?

59%   Favor 40% reduction or more
26%   Oppose reduction of 40% as too large
14%   Not sure

Favor vs. Oppose

69% - 19%      Past McCaskill voters who voted for Trump
83% -   7%      Democrats & Independents who voted for Trump

53% - 35%      Voters in union households
54% - 33%      Liberal & moderate Republicans

78% - 18%      Voters for whom immigration is top issue
74% - 16%      Voters for whom immigration not top issue but in top three

QUESTION 4: Current federal policy automatically adds about one million new legal immigrants each year giving all of them lifetime work visas.  Which is closest to the number of lifetime immigrant work visas the government should be adding each year -- none, 250,000, half a million, one million, one and a half million, two million, or more than two million?

63%   Half a million or less
24%   One million or more
14%   Not sure

Half-million or less vs. 1 million or more

78% - 13%      Past McCaskill voters who voted for Trump
76% - 13%      Democrats & Independents who voted for Trump

67% - 23%      Voters in union households
54% - 39%      Liberal & moderate Republicans

81% - 14%      Voters for whom immigration is top issue
74% - 16%      Voters for whom immigration not top issue but in top three

 

Missouri Survey of 1,000 Likely Midterm Voters
Conducted April 19-20, 2017
By Pulse Opinion Research
Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

 

1* When businesses say they are having trouble finding Americans to take jobs in construction, manufacturing, hospitality and other service work, what is generally best for the country?  Is it better to raise the pay until they can attract Americans without jobs even if it causes prices to rise, or is it better for the government to continue to automatically bring in new immigrants each year to keep the costs down?

67% Better to raise the pay to attract Americans without jobs even if prices rise
12% Better for the government to automatically bring in new immigrants to keep
         the costs down
21% Not sure

2*  Some businesses say it is especially difficult to hire workers from among groups with the highest unemployment and poverty rates, which includes Black and Hispanic Americans and younger Americans of all ethnic groups without a college degree.  Should businesses be required to try harder to recruit and train people from those groups with the highest unemployment or should the government continue to bring in new immigrants to compete for the jobs?

74% Businesses should be required to try harder to recruit and train from groups with
         highest unemployment
  9% Government should continue to bring in new immigrants to compete for the jobs
17% Not sure

3*  Current federal policy automatically adds about one million new legal immigrants each year giving all of them lifetime work visas.  Which is closest to the number of lifetime immigrant work visas the government should be adding each year -- none, 250,000, half a million, one million, one and a half million, two million, or more than two million?

25% None
22% 250,000
16% Half a million                                63%  Half-million or less
14% One million                                   24%  One million or more
  3% One and a half million
  3% Two million
  4% More than two million
14% Not sure

4*  When businesses are allowed to bring in immigrant workers on lifetime work permits, who should those immigrants be allowed to eventually petition to also get lifetime work permits….their spouse and minor children only, their extended family in addition to their spouse and minor children or no family members at all?

55% Spouse and minor children only
18% Extended family in addition to spouse and minor children
21% No family members at all
  6% Not sure

5*  When a refugee is allowed to settle in the United States, whom should that refugee be allowed to eventually petition to also get lifetime work permits -- their spouse and minor children only, their extended family in addition to their spouse and minor children or no family members at all?

53% Spouse and minor children only
21% Extended family in addition to spouse and minor children
21% No family members at all
  5% Not sure

6* When people from other countries marry United States citizens, should those foreign born spouses be allowed to petition to get lifetime work permits for their extended family or should they only be allowed to petition to get lifetime work permits for any minor children they may have?

26% They should be allowed to petition for lifetime work permits for their extended
         family
61% Only for any minor children they may have
13% Not sure

7* A bill in the U.S. Senate would allow immigrants to bring in their spouse and minor children but would end migration of extended family. Do you favor or oppose allowing immigrants to bring in only their spouse and minor children and NOT their extended family?

64% Favor
24% Oppose
12% Not sure

8* A bill in Congress would eliminate a government run visa lottery that each year randomly selects approximately 50,000 new immigrants around the world to move to the United States.  Opponents of the visa lottery criticize it for bringing in people without any regard for their skills or how they affect American workers who have to compete with them for jobs.  Supporters of the visa lottery say it is needed to add diversity to the United States.  Should the United States eliminate the visa lottery or continue the visa lottery?

56% Eliminate the visa lottery
27% Continue the visa lottery
17% Not sure

9*  Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose setting up rules to ensure that businesses give first preference for jobs to American workers and legal immigrants already in this country before businesses can ask for new immigrant workers?

65% Strongly support
20% Somewhat support                                  85%  Support
  7% Somewhat oppose                                   10%  Oppose
  3% Strongly oppose
  5% Not sure

10*  The Pew Research Center projects that immigration policies are set to add more than 100 million people to the United States over the next 50 years. In terms of the environmental consequences of that much population growth, will the effect be negative, positive, or basically neutral?

51% Negative
10% Positive
27% Basically neutral
11% Not sure

11* A bill in Congress would reduce by 40% the one million legal immigrants automatically added to the country each year.  Is this too large a reduction, too small a reduction or is the reduction about right?

26% Too large a reduction
29% Too small a reduction
30% The reduction is about right
14% Not sure

12*  Do you find most immigrants you have met personally to be hard-working people who would make good neighbors?

61% Yes
18% No
20% Not sure

13*  On the question of ILLEGAL immigration, do you favor or oppose requiring every business to use the government’s online E-Verify system to make sure every job goes to an American or other authorized worker instead of to an illegal worker?

75% Favor requiring E-Verify
12% Oppose requiring E-Verify
12% Not sure

14* Have you ever voted for Claire McCaskill for United State Senate?

47% Yes
48%  No
  4%  Not sure

Methodology:  The survey of 1,000 likely midterm voters in MISSOURI was conducted by Pulse Opinion Research on April 19-20, 2017.  Pulse Opinion Research, LLC is an independent public opinion research firm using automated polling methodology and procedures licensed from Rasmussen Reports, LLC. 

“Likely Midterm Voters” are those who answered “always” or “usually” to the question: “How often do you vote in congressional elections when there isn’t a presidential contest?”

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 3.0% percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. This means that an identical survey conducted under the same circumstances would generate a result within the margin of sampling error 19 times out of 20.

The survey was conducted using an established automated polling methodology. For 78%, sample calls were placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographical representation.  Twenty two percent (22%) of the sample was conducted via online surveys of those individuals who use a cell-phone as their primary telephone.  After the calls and on-line surveys were completed, the raw data is processed through a weighting program to insure that the sample reflects the overall population in terms of age, race, gender, political party, and other factors.  The processing step is required because different segments of the population answer the phone in different ways.  For example, women answer the phone more than men, older people are home more and answer more than younger people, and rural residents typically answer the phone more frequently than urban residents.

The population targets were based upon census bureau data, a series of screening questions to determine likely voters, and other factors. Pulse Opinion Research determines its partisan weighting targets through a dynamic weighting system that takes into account voting history, national trends, and recent polling.

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2017 state polls