A new report by the Center for Immigration Studies says that the Senate-passed immigration bill (S. 744) could add 4.6 million additional voters to the U.S. by 2024 and 17.3 million more by 2036. Since the last four presidential elections were decided by an average of 4.5 million voters, this influx could have a substantial impact on American politics.
Dr. Steven Camarota, CIS Director of Research and author of the publication, said, “Current immigration policy is adding millions of new voters each decade; the Gang of Eight bill will add millions more. This is one of the most important consequences of immigration. Will it result in voters who need or want more government services? Or, will it reshape American foreign policy? There has been almost no discussion of the impact on the electorate.”
Current immigration law is expected to add 15 million potential voting-age citizens by 2036. Combined, current immigration and S.744 would create more than 32 million potential voters by 2036. The 32-million number is slightly larger than the number of Americans over age 65 who voted in 2012. It is also twice the size of the veterans vote.
Of the new potential voters S.744 would create by 2036, slightly more than one-third would be a result of the bill’s amnesty provisions based on CBO projections; the rest are due to the bill’s large increases in future legal immigration.
CIS says the projections err on the conservative side as they only include potential immigrant voters, not their U.S.-born children. They take into account, mortality, return-migration, and residency requirements to naturalize.
View the report.